The Malawi Congress Party Diaspora Wing has added its voice in reaction to the recent opinion poll conducted by the Institute of Public Opinion and Research (Ipor) which gives DPP a lead over the other parties. The MCP wing has described the opinion as not a true reflection of what is happening on the ground.
The survey, dated October 2018, was conducted between August and September this year to assess the political environment in Malawi 10 months ahead of the May 2019 Tripartite Elections and give an understanding of the political and economic environment of the country
In the opinion Poll, it has been established that if election were to be held today DPP under Peter Mutharika will return power. Spokesperson of the Diaspora wing said “The thought that DPP would return power is a fantasy and raises questions over whether the right sample was used to obtain these results. We have evidence of what is happening on the ground and we will not close our eyes to let some opinion poll swerve the people’s minds” said Mvula.
According to the statement Mvula while not undermining the credibility of the recent survey questioned the importance of opinion polls in modern politics. “Again and again in Malawi and many countries these opinion polls have got it wrong. The same polls predicted a huge win for Joyce Banda but what happened. In America, opinion polls gave Donald Trump no chance but look what happened- it’s time we never take these polls seriously as they are prone to error”
The MCP Diaspora wing statement concurs to the statement made by the party’s Publicity secretary in his official reaction. Munthali while giving interview on Zodiac radio warned against relying on opinion polls which are prone to margin of error. Munthali was particularly against the findings that MCP was only popular in the Central Region while UTM is popular in the North. He said MCP’s popularity was growing which necessitated the plan to field candidates in all 193 constituencies where during primaries they had more than one aspirant.
Munthali gave the example of the October 2017 by-election results where MCP scooped a seat in the Southern Region and the presence of Sidik Mia as the party’s vice-president who originates from Chikwawa.“We don’t want to undermine the credibility of the researchers but we have our own understanding that we are making inroads in the Southern Region, as last year’s by-elections indicated,” he said.
The survey had a national representative final sample of 1 350 of eligible voters and the research was led by social and political scientists Blessings Chinsinga, Boniface Dulani, Joseph Chunga and Mwayi Masumbu